The Ongoing Afghanistan Problem

It seems that Obama is going to send more troops to Afghanistan. I used to think that Afghanistan was a just war, especially in comparison to Iraq which was more a made up war, but these days I think Afghanistan is another open ended commitment with no real goals and a languishing presence because no-one is certain what the absence of American and NATO forces there would mean.

Kevin Rudd is Washington DC at the moment meeting with Obama when the opportunity arises; and since Australia has approximately 1,000 troops in Afghanistan it seems a given that Rudd will commit those to the American presence in Afghanistan since the Great and Powerful Friends doctrine is based upon how much Australia loves America as an ally, friend and foreign policy kissing mate. Rudd was quoted:

Australia takes its alliance with the United States very seriously, that's why we've been with America for a long time in Afghanistan and will be with America for the long haul

Then again I consider the GAPF policy lame and lacking in imagination. For all the rhetoric Australia is only committing one thousand servicemen there.

So where are we left with Afghanistan? It was considered a just war as the Taliban was hiding Osama Bin Laden. But we never found Osama Bin Laden and were not able to bring him to justice. The Taliban are neither here nor there, and the Afghanistan government is corrupt and propped upon American money and power.

There is no long term policy to speak of. Just an increasing commitment of troops and resources as politics dictates. I suspect America is going to be in Afghanistan forever, in the same way the US will be in Iraq forever. And even if things clean up and right themselves, American will still be stuck in those places as arbiters of local power anyway.

It is easy to think in idealistic terms, of bringing democracy, liberalism, free markets and all the other basic things that make for a prosperous 21stC nation. However, none of those things are easy, and while we may consider them the end of history, or inevitable, they are incredibly difficult to get started, and even harder to keep going in that form. Modern liberal democracies have to deal with executive exceptions, protectionism, nativism and the abrogation of individual rights. These are not easy things to maintain.

I think we should leave Afghanistan. I don't see it going anywhere, and instead see it as an open ended commitment, without policy, without goals, and potentially an increasing consumption of American resources, money and power.
Permalink, The Ongoing Afghanistan Problem, Nov 2009, cam

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