New Defence Report Coming Out Next Week

The Australian has a pre-release discussion of it. No mention of the report, or its impending release from the defence website media room .

From the article;

The Prime Minister all but gave a guarantee yesterday that cabinet will soon approve a continuation of the 3per cent real increase in the defence budget beyond 2010, which will mean billions of extra dollars for the military.

That will probably only stave off inflationry pressures. IIRC the ADF gets about 17 billion a year, so a three percent increase comes in at 510 million. To put that in comparison, last election the money that was "found" in the budget and used for electoral bribes was 6 Billion.

The update envisages that new military capabilities -- including a larger, more mobile and better protected army, together with the navy's new amphibious ships and air warfare destroyers -- could contribute to coalition operations further away from Australia's neighbourhood. The blueprint details regional military trends, including China's military modernisation, India's rise and the US's future military posture in East Asia.

So the Navy is getting their 30,000 tonne LHD behemoths. I am interested to see their strategic and doctrinal justification for both the LHD and AWDs.

He said any new Australian commitment to Iraq would depend on Japan, Britain and the views of the new Iraqi government after this month's elections.

America will make that decision for us. Iraq is becoming politically untenable in the US. It will leave us no choice.
Permalink, New Defence Report Coming Out Next Week, Dec 2005, cam
cam: I covered: the 2004 Spending Report from the ASPI on k5 (before ASPI made you pay for PDFs). From that article;

ASPI\'s Five Options

1.3% GDP / 13B : This would remove existing capability. The F111 and Navies older Frigates would be retired. The JSF would be scrapped as would the Air Warfare Destroyers. The Army would also be cut by 3000 troops. Australia would be unable to support overseas deployment, barely be able to maintain security locally and would lead to neighbouring nations having greater capability than Australia within a decade.

1.5% GDP / 15.1B : This would reorder the ADF to a stronger Army at the expense of aerial and naval projection. The Air Force and Navy undergo the same cuts as the above option. The Army receives three more Battalions and Theatre Ballistic Missile Defence is procured. This is an expeditionary realignment where Australia would have difficulty independently defending Australia but would give Australia greater troops to deploy in coalitions overseas. Regionally the Australia Army would still be small. The risk with this is that it relies on US benevolence. It also assumes that the US would accept this role.

1.7% GDP : 16.7B : This is the current Government plan. This includes replacing the F18 and F111 with the JSF, buying the Air Warfare Destroyers, purchasing battle tanks for the Army and the current procurement levels for tankers and AEW&C aircraft. Australia would remain a regional maritime power but Australian air power would be heavily reliant on the small number of force multipliers.

2.1% GDP / 20.3B : This is an ASPI plan where procurement in key areas of capability is increased and accelerated. This doubles the number Destroyers purchased and increases the number of tankers and AEW&C aircraft being purchased as well. The Army would also increase by three Battalions. This would enhance Australia\'s standing as a regional power and be able to operate independently locally. Projection would also be limited to Australia\'s immediate neighbourhood.

2.5% GDP / 24.9B : This includes extra procurement for an extra mechanized brigade, more transport aircraft, more Army helicopters and two aircraft carriers plus aircraft. This procurement would allow Australia to not only dominate its maritime approaches but also to project beyond them.

cam
cam: Britain threatening to pull out of the JSF program: From the times online ;

While the development is being driven by the Pentagon, it is being built by a multinational team in which Britain is the sole \"Tier One\" partner. The government has already provided $2 billion in development funding, and had been slated to buy 150 aircraft for the RAF and Royal Navy.

But Britain is now threatening to withdraw after rows over the Pentagon\'s reluctance to agree to the transfer of technology, and because of likely increases in the price of each plane.

This has been an issue between the US and UK in the past with this program. Australia has also thrown some money toward the JSF development, but not much. I dont think it is more than a couple of hundred million.

cam
avocadia: Damn TLAs: Remind me what an LHD is.
cam: Landing Helicopter Dock: One of these things . Some more info on it . They are basically super big assult ships for moving troops and materials onto a hostile shoreline.

cam

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